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1   /*
2    * Licensed to the Apache Software Foundation (ASF) under one or more
3    * contributor license agreements.  See the NOTICE file distributed with
4    * this work for additional information regarding copyright ownership.
5    * The ASF licenses this file to You under the Apache License, Version 2.0
6    * (the "License"); you may not use this file except in compliance with
7    * the License.  You may obtain a copy of the License at
8    *
9    *      http://www.apache.org/licenses/LICENSE-2.0
10   *
11   * Unless required by applicable law or agreed to in writing, software
12   * distributed under the License is distributed on an "AS IS" BASIS,
13   * WITHOUT WARRANTIES OR CONDITIONS OF ANY KIND, either express or implied.
14   * See the License for the specific language governing permissions and
15   * limitations under the License.
16   */
17  package org.apache.commons.math4.legacy.stat.interval;
18  
19  import org.apache.commons.statistics.distribution.NormalDistribution;
20  import org.apache.commons.math4.core.jdkmath.JdkMath;
21  
22  /**
23   * Implements the Agresti-Coull method for creating a binomial proportion confidence interval.
24   *
25   * @see <a
26   *      href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Binomial_proportion_confidence_interval#Agresti-Coull_Interval">
27   *      Agresti-Coull interval (Wikipedia)</a>
28   * @since 3.3
29   */
30  public class AgrestiCoullInterval implements BinomialConfidenceInterval {
31  
32      /** {@inheritDoc} */
33      @Override
34      public ConfidenceInterval createInterval(int numberOfTrials, int numberOfSuccesses, double confidenceLevel) {
35          IntervalUtils.checkParameters(numberOfTrials, numberOfSuccesses, confidenceLevel);
36          final double alpha = (1.0 - confidenceLevel) / 2;
37          final NormalDistribution normalDistribution = NormalDistribution.of(0, 1);
38          final double z = normalDistribution.inverseSurvivalProbability(alpha);
39          final double zSquared = JdkMath.pow(z, 2);
40          final double modifiedNumberOfTrials = numberOfTrials + zSquared;
41          final double modifiedSuccessesRatio = (1.0 / modifiedNumberOfTrials) * (numberOfSuccesses + 0.5 * zSquared);
42          final double difference = z *
43                                    JdkMath.sqrt(1.0 / modifiedNumberOfTrials * modifiedSuccessesRatio *
44                                                  (1 - modifiedSuccessesRatio));
45          return new ConfidenceInterval(modifiedSuccessesRatio - difference, modifiedSuccessesRatio + difference,
46                                        confidenceLevel);
47      }
48  }