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1   /*
2    * Licensed to the Apache Software Foundation (ASF) under one or more
3    * contributor license agreements.  See the NOTICE file distributed with
4    * this work for additional information regarding copyright ownership.
5    * The ASF licenses this file to You under the Apache License, Version 2.0
6    * (the "License"); you may not use this file except in compliance with
7    * the License.  You may obtain a copy of the License at
8    *
9    *      http://www.apache.org/licenses/LICENSE-2.0
10   *
11   * Unless required by applicable law or agreed to in writing, software
12   * distributed under the License is distributed on an "AS IS" BASIS,
13   * WITHOUT WARRANTIES OR CONDITIONS OF ANY KIND, either express or implied.
14   * See the License for the specific language governing permissions and
15   * limitations under the License.
16   */
17  package org.apache.commons.statistics.distribution;
18  
19  /**
20   * Implementation of the Gumbel distribution.
21   *
22   * <p>The probability density function of \( X \) is:
23   *
24   * <p>\[ f(x; \mu, \beta) =  \frac{1}{\beta} e^{-(z+e^{-z})} \]
25   *
26   * <p>where \[ z = \frac{x - \mu}{\beta} \]
27   *
28   * <p>for \( \mu \) the location,
29   * \( \beta &gt; 0 \) the scale, and
30   * \( x \in (-\infty, \infty) \).
31   *
32   * @see <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gumbel_distribution">Gumbel distribution (Wikipedia)</a>
33   * @see <a href="https://mathworld.wolfram.com/GumbelDistribution.html">Gumbel distribution (MathWorld)</a>
34   */
35  public final class GumbelDistribution extends AbstractContinuousDistribution {
36      /** Support lower bound. */
37      private static final double SUPPORT_LO = Double.NEGATIVE_INFINITY;
38      /** Support upper bound. */
39      private static final double SUPPORT_HI = Double.POSITIVE_INFINITY;
40      /** &pi;<sup>2</sup>/6. https://oeis.org/A013661. */
41      private static final double PI_SQUARED_OVER_SIX = 1.644934066848226436472415166646;
42      /**
43       * <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Euler%27s_constant">
44       * Approximation of Euler's constant</a>.
45       * https://oeis.org/A001620.
46       */
47      private static final double EULER = 0.5772156649015328606065;
48      /** ln(ln(2)). https://oeis.org/A074785. */
49      private static final double LN_LN_2 = -0.3665129205816643270124;
50      /** Location parameter. */
51      private final double mu;
52      /** Scale parameter. */
53      private final double beta;
54  
55      /**
56       * @param mu Location parameter.
57       * @param beta Scale parameter (must be positive).
58       */
59      private GumbelDistribution(double mu,
60                                 double beta) {
61          this.beta = beta;
62          this.mu = mu;
63      }
64  
65      /**
66       * Creates a Gumbel distribution.
67       *
68       * @param mu Location parameter.
69       * @param beta Scale parameter (must be positive).
70       * @return the distribution
71       * @throws IllegalArgumentException if {@code beta <= 0}
72       */
73      public static GumbelDistribution of(double mu,
74                                          double beta) {
75          if (beta <= 0) {
76              throw new DistributionException(DistributionException.NOT_STRICTLY_POSITIVE, beta);
77          }
78          return new GumbelDistribution(mu, beta);
79      }
80  
81      /**
82       * Gets the location parameter of this distribution.
83       *
84       * @return the location parameter.
85       */
86      public double getLocation() {
87          return mu;
88      }
89  
90      /**
91       * Gets the scale parameter of this distribution.
92       *
93       * @return the scale parameter.
94       */
95      public double getScale() {
96          return beta;
97      }
98  
99      /** {@inheritDoc} */
100     @Override
101     public double density(double x) {
102         if (x <= SUPPORT_LO) {
103             return 0;
104         }
105 
106         final double z = (x - mu) / beta;
107         final double t = Math.exp(-z);
108         return Math.exp(-z - t) / beta;
109     }
110 
111     /** {@inheritDoc} */
112     @Override
113     public double logDensity(double x) {
114         if (x <= SUPPORT_LO) {
115             return Double.NEGATIVE_INFINITY;
116         }
117 
118         final double z = (x - mu) / beta;
119         final double t = Math.exp(-z);
120         return -z - t - Math.log(beta);
121     }
122 
123     /** {@inheritDoc} */
124     @Override
125     public double cumulativeProbability(double x) {
126         final double z = (x - mu) / beta;
127         return Math.exp(-Math.exp(-z));
128     }
129 
130     /** {@inheritDoc} */
131     @Override
132     public double survivalProbability(double x) {
133         final double z = (x - mu) / beta;
134         return -Math.expm1(-Math.exp(-z));
135     }
136 
137     /** {@inheritDoc} */
138     @Override
139     public double inverseCumulativeProbability(double p) {
140         ArgumentUtils.checkProbability(p);
141         if (p == 0) {
142             return Double.NEGATIVE_INFINITY;
143         } else if (p == 1) {
144             return Double.POSITIVE_INFINITY;
145         }
146         return mu - Math.log(-Math.log(p)) * beta;
147     }
148 
149     /** {@inheritDoc} */
150     @Override
151     public double inverseSurvivalProbability(double p) {
152         ArgumentUtils.checkProbability(p);
153         if (p == 1) {
154             return Double.NEGATIVE_INFINITY;
155         } else if (p == 0) {
156             return Double.POSITIVE_INFINITY;
157         }
158         return mu - Math.log(-Math.log1p(-p)) * beta;
159     }
160 
161     /**
162      * {@inheritDoc}
163      *
164      * <p>For location parameter \( \mu \) and scale parameter \( \beta \), the mean is:
165      *
166      * <p>\[ \mu + \beta \gamma \]
167      *
168      * <p>where \( \gamma \) is the
169      * <a href="https://mathworld.wolfram.com/Euler-MascheroniConstantApproximations.html">
170      * Euler-Mascheroni constant</a>.
171      */
172     @Override
173     public double getMean() {
174         return mu + EULER * beta;
175     }
176 
177     /**
178      * {@inheritDoc}
179      *
180      * <p>For scale parameter \( \beta \), the variance is:
181      *
182      * <p>\[ \frac{\pi^2}{6} \beta^2 \]
183      */
184     @Override
185     public double getVariance() {
186         return PI_SQUARED_OVER_SIX * beta * beta;
187     }
188 
189     /**
190      * {@inheritDoc}
191      *
192      * <p>The lower bound of the support is always negative infinity.
193      *
194      * @return {@linkplain Double#NEGATIVE_INFINITY negative infinity}.
195      */
196     @Override
197     public double getSupportLowerBound() {
198         return SUPPORT_LO;
199     }
200 
201     /**
202      * {@inheritDoc}
203      *
204      * <p>The upper bound of the support is always positive infinity.
205      *
206      * @return {@linkplain Double#POSITIVE_INFINITY positive infinity}.
207      */
208     @Override
209     public double getSupportUpperBound() {
210         return SUPPORT_HI;
211     }
212 
213     /** {@inheritDoc} */
214     @Override
215     double getMedian() {
216         // Overridden for the probability(double, double) method.
217         // This is intentionally not a public method.
218         // u - beta * ln(ln(2))
219         return mu - beta * LN_LN_2;
220     }
221 }